The rapid expansion of the Internet of Things (IoT) market has brought new directions and dividend opportunities to the telecom industry facing bottlenecks in user growth, while the Cellular Narrowband Internet of Things (NB-IoT) is the key to opening this market.
Huawei predicts that there will be 100 billion connections worldwide by 2025, most of which are related to the Internet of Things; another third-party forecast believes that by 2020, the value of the entire IoT industry chain is expected to reach 3 trillion euros. But until today, the telecom industry's participation in the development of the Internet of Things is quite limited, with only 10% of IoT applications based on cellular networks.
"NB-IoT is the first choice for the cellular industry to respond to the Internet of Everything. The cellular network covers a vast area, and NB-IoT itself has a significant advantage over the existing IoT connection technology." Yu Quan, chief strategy officer of Huawei's wireless network product line, told C114. Forecasts from the Global System for Mobile Communications (GSMA) show that the emergence of NB-IoT will greatly promote the development of the cellular IoT industry, which will reach 3 billion connections in 2020; Machina also predicts that NB-IoT will cover 25% in the future. IoT connection.
He pointed out that NB-IoT must be supported by an open industry platform to succeed, and 2016 will be a crucial year for the NB-IoT industry. Standard, chip, network and commercial applications will mature.
Yu Quan, Chief Strategy Officer, Huawei Wireless Network Product Line
On the eve of the 2016 World Mobile Communications Conference (MWC 2016), the world's first global NB-IoT industry summit was held in Barcelona, ​​bringing together the industry's most important companies and organizations. GSMA and Huawei, Vodafone, China Mobile, China Unicom and other co-sponsored the establishment of the NB-IoT Forum.
NB-IoT: The cellular industry is the first choice for all things
In terms of mobile phone SIM cards, mobile users have exceeded the global population, that is, the penetration rate exceeds 100%. With the demise of the demographic dividend, the Internet of Things is expected to become a new source of growth for operators, and there is huge space.
Traditional industries also have strong demand for IoT to improve efficiency and achieve digital transformation. Countries have already developed driving plans, such as Germany's "Industry 4.0", the United States "advanced country manufacturing strategy", China's "Internet +" and "Intelligent Manufacturing 2025", from which you can see the huge demand for the Internet of Things.
“From a business perspective, cellular networks have so far covered more than 90% of the world's population and more than 50% of the geographic range.†Yu Quan pointed out that if a sufficiently competitive technology can be provided on existing cellular networks, Operators can quickly enter the connected world of people from the connected world, and they can turn coverage advantages into real income.
He said that NB-IoT has four advantages over existing IoT technology and traditional cellular technology. The first is coverage. NB-IoT has a gain of 20dB over the traditional GSM network and a 10x increase in coverage. The second massive connection, NB-IoT can provide 100,000 connections per sector. Currently there are about 5 million physical sites around the world. Assuming all NB-IoTs are deployed, three sectors per site, then IoT terminals can be accessed. The number will be as high as 450 billion.
The third low power consumption, NB-IoT power consumption is only 1/10 of GSM, and the terminal module can work independently for 10 years without using charging. The fourth low cost, module cost is expected to fall to within $5. In the future, with the scale effect brought about by technological evolution and market development, power consumption and cost are expected to be further reduced.
In terms of security and anti-interference, NB-IoT based on licensed spectrum is also superior to WiFi, Bluetooth, etc. based on unlicensed spectrum. Encryption has been performed from the air interface, and 3GPP will also discuss encryption mechanism.
NB-IoT is inseparable from the open platform
The Internet of Things application will be a long tail market, with sufficient segmentation and wide range of participants. The success of NB-IoT is inseparable from an open platform.
"As you can see from the GSMA website, the list of founding members of the NB-IoT Forum is very long, but I would like to emphasize that there are 20 vertical industry players participating in the summit. We have to face thousands of vertical industry players. There is a lot of work to be done, but this change is gratifying." Yu Quan told C114.
He believes that the NB-IoT ecosystem should be an open system. In the process of standard setting, in the process of application promotion, and in the realization of technology, many players need to contribute together: "The dozens of honeycomb industry history Over the years, there has been a tradition of openness and cooperation to achieve such a very high achievement today. I believe that NB-IoT will repeat such openness and cooperation, thus bringing new business success, and at the same time, to society and the economy. Played a very good role in promoting."
Xu Wenwei, managing director of Huawei and the president of Strategy MarkeTIng, also emphasized in another media round table that only by opening up itself and opening up cooperation can we open up a new industrial structure: "The so-called openness is the first step to let everyone go in the same direction. Will be bigger."
In addition to the NB-IoT Forum, Huawei Open Lab is also an important open platform. The purpose of Open Lab is to provide an open cooperation platform, on the basis of promoting the healthy development of the industrial ecological chain, and integrating verification and joint innovation with partners to achieve industrial chain value aggregation. Huawei is currently building 10 Open Labs worldwide. .
"With Open Lab, vertical industry vendors can easily verify his technology, validate his network, and validate his business model in a real-world network environment." Yu Quan said that in Open Lab, it has emerged. Many user cases, in addition to smart meter reading, intelligent parking, as well as garbage disposal, intelligent tracking, intelligent logistics and so on.
Huawei hopes to attract more vertical industry players to participate in the work of NB-IoT Forum and Open Lab through an open attitude: "There is a idiom called 俎 俎 庖, let us think about which applications are not particularly suitable. And provide a After the platform, they are able to actively innovate based on their business."
2016 key year
Hu Houkun, vice chairman and rotating CEO of Huawei, once suggested that in the case of other competitive technologies, the development of the Internet of Things market is not waiting, calling for the industry to develop standards, costs and ecology.
“2016 is a key year for NB-IoT, as the industry will make great progress in all aspects.†Yu Quan said that the NB-IoT standard is expected to be completed in 3GPP R13 in June this year.
The source of NB-IoT standardization can be traced back to the NB-M2M jointly proposed by Huawei and Vodafone in May 2014. The concept of narrow-band cellular Internet of Things, pioneered by the two companies, has been widely recognized by the industry. More and more industry giants such as Qualcomm and Ericsson have joined the standardization research in this direction. In order to promote the unification of standards to facilitate industrial development, the 3GPP finally reached an agreement in the RAN plenary meeting in September 2015 to establish NB-IoT as the only standard for narrow-band cellular Internet of Things, and the project was drafted for the Work Item.
In terms of operators, China Mobile, China Unicom, Vodafone, Deutsche Telekom, Emirates Telecom, Telecom Italia, AT&T and other global top operators have all released their own development strategies around NB-IoT and launched pilot projects.
"We have seen many chip manufacturers and module manufacturers plan to support NB-IoT this year. For network equipment suppliers, Huawei will support NB-IoT in the second half of this year; according to the roadmaps of other network equipment vendors, They will also support this year." Yu Quan said frankly, even so, operators still think that the progress is not fast enough.
At the use case level, applications such as smart meter reading, smart parking, and intelligent tracking have been verified. It is expected that commercial networks will appear in the second half of this year, and will enter the scale deployment stage in 2017.
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